At +1.318 strokes to par, PGA National was the most difficult par 70 in 2013. To put its test into some perspective, that's the second-lowest it's scored (71.19, 2012) since its debut in 2007. Hitting the 6,400-square foot greens in regulation on the 7,110-yard, Jack Nicklaus redesign (circa 1990) is paramount for success given that last year's field averaged just 59.15 percent, fifth-lowest on TOUR. The scrambling clip rested at 55.47, which was 12th-lowest. This helps explains why even-par 280 has yielded five top 20s in the seven editions at PGA National.
Since Michael Thompson's PGA TOUR breakthrough victory last year, each of the 63 bunkers was adjusted to achieve consistency throughout the property. New bunkers were added, including a yawning hazard left of the green at the par-4 16th hole.
The defending champion ranked T9 in fairways hit and T5 in GIR. He also finished fifth in stroke gained-putting and T14, T2 and T2 in par-3, par-4 and par-5 scoring, respectively. His 4.13 clip on the pair of par 5s (holes 3 and 18) featured an eagle, five birdies and two pars. That's where the field of 144 needs to capitalize.
Of course, to get to the finishing hole, everyone navigates The Bear Trap, which kept its claws withdrawn last year. The par-3-4-3=10 stretch (holes 15, 16 and 17) averaged 10.313. For the first time in its role as host, none of the three ranked inside the top-third hardest on the course for the week.
A reasonable chance of rain is possible through Friday. The weekend looks clear, but winds are expected to freshen. Temperatures will flirt with 80 degrees throughout.
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This article was written by By Rob Bolton. Rob is the Fantasy Columnist for PGATOUR.COM. Got a question for Rob? You can contact him viae-mail: FantasyInsider@charter.net or on Twitter @RobBoltonGolf